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Dennis Novak vs Lucas Pouille Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Novak vs Pouille analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Dennis Novak vs Lucas Pouille Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Novak 1 - 2 Pouille

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Novak has won 49.12% of points on their second serve, while Pouille has won 54.29%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Novak, in recent form, has won 52.72% of their opponent's second serve points, while Pouille has won 51.2%. The same stats for first serve returns are 32.76% and 31.78% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Novak has saved 57.92% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Pouille has saved 62.03% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Novak has won 54.69% of matches played (W/L 35/ 29), with Pouille winning 64.1% (W/L 25/ 14) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Novak has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 69% (W/L 115/ 51), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 55% (W/L 77/ 63). Pouille has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 133/ 88), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 51% (W/L 25/ 24).
  • Player level: In the last year, Novak has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 53.85% of matches (W/L 28/ 24), where as Pouille has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 76.19% of matches (W/L 16/ 5). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Novak winning 1 times and Pouille being victorious 2 times. They have played 10 sets in total, with Novak winning 4 and Pouille winning 6. The last match between Novak and Pouille was at the Mauthausen Challenger, 07-05-2024, First, Clay with Lucas Pouille getting the victory 6-3 3-6 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:3:50.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Novak and Pouille have played a deciding set 2 times, with Novak winning 1 times and Pouille 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Novak winning 0, and Pouille 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Novak has played against opponents with an average rank of 318.88 while Pouille has played against players with an average rank of 257.49.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Novak has won 35% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Pouille has won 64% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Novak has converted 40.3% of breakpoint opportunities, and Pouille has converted 42.93% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Dennis Novak

26

Total

0

Mast

3

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

23

Minor

208

Rank

85

High

30

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

2

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

1

1

Grass

0

209

Rank

10

High

30

Age

R

Plays

Lucas Pouille

11

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

5

Main

4

Minor

1

Total

2

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

1

1

Grass

0

W W L L W W L W L L

Form

L W L L W W W W W L

62% (489-294)

Career Total W/L

58% (347-253)

48% (14-15)

YTD W/L

64% (21-12)

$838,895

Career Prize Money

$5,844,938

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Novak VS Pouille H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Dennis Novak Lucas Pouille
All H2H Matches 1 2
Sets Won 4 6
Games Won 46 48
Aces (Total) 24 25
DFs (Total) 9 14
Avg Match Time 2:3:50 2:3:50
1st Serve % 64% (202/316) 58% (179/309)
1st Serve Win% 67% (136/202) 72% (128/179)
2nd Serve Win% 58% (66/114) 52% (67/130)
BPs Won% (Total) 35% (8/23) 32% (9/28)
Return Points W% 37% (114/309) 36% (114/316)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 100% (2/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (2/0)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 0% (1/0)

Novak VS Pouille H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 3-6 6-4
cross
Lucas Pouille
Player
Dennis Novak
46% ( 41 of 90)
1st Serve %
57% ( 50 of 87)
7
Aces
5
7
Double Faults
2
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 33 of 50)
53% ( 26 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 21 of 37)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
36% ( 32 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 33 of 87)
91
Total Points Won
86
6-3 6-3
cross
Lucas Pouille
Player
Dennis Novak
56% ( 40 of 71)
1st Serve %
65% ( 43 of 66)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
73% ( 29 of 40)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 25 of 43)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
37% ( 26 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 29 of 66)
74
Total Points Won
63
6-4 6-2 6-7(8) 3-6 6-2
cross
Dennis Novak
Player
Lucas Pouille
67% ( 109 of 163)
1st Serve %
66% ( 98 of 148)
16
Aces
13
5
Double Faults
6
72% ( 78 of 109)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 67 of 98)
61% ( 33 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 25 of 50)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
32% ( 52 of 163)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 56 of 148)
167
Total Points Won
144

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Dennis Novak Lucas Pouille
YTD W/L 48% (14/15) 64% (21/12)
Sets Win/Loss 52% (34/32) 62% (44/27)
Games Win/Loss 51% (296/286) 54% (376/314)
Hard Win/Loss 50% (5/5) 82% (9/2)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (9/9) 62% (8/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/1) 44% (4/5)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.27 0.55
Aces Total 78 186
DFs per game 0.23 0.28
DFs Total 65 93
Avg Match Time 1:25:37 1:33:41
Avg Opp Rank 347.93 254.79
1st Serve % 65% (1177/1800) 54% (1188/2201)
1st Serve W% 68% (799/1177) 75% (890/1188)
2nd Serve W% 49% (306/623) 54% (550/1013)
BPs Won% Total 40% (81/201) 43% (85/198)
Return Pts W% 40% (747/1855) 39% (862/2204)
Slam W/L 50% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (3/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (4/4)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 48% (13/14) 78% (14/4)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 48% (13/27) 65% (20/31)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 57% (4/7) 67% (6/9)
Deciding Set W% 25% (2/8) 57% (4/7)
1st set W, W 85% (13/11) 86% (21/18)
1st set W, L 15% (13/2) 14% (21/3)
1st set L, W 19% (16/3) 25% (12/3)

Dennis Novak Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Pedro Cachin
Player
Dennis Novak
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
52% ( 54 of 104)
3
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
5
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 31 of 54)
41% ( 12 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 22 of 50)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
38% ( 27 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 51 of 104)
96
Total Points Won
80
L
6-2 2-6 6-0 H2H
Q2
cross
Jesper De Jong
Player
Dennis Novak
63% ( 40 of 63)
1st Serve %
62% ( 32 of 52)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
70% ( 28 of 40)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 20 of 32)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 8 of 20)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
37% ( 23 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 24 of 52)
64
Total Points Won
51
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Dennis Novak
Player
Oriol Roca Batalla
66% ( 37 of 56)
1st Serve %
60% ( 33 of 55)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
73% ( 27 of 37)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 23 of 33)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
29% ( 16 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 23 of 55)
63
Total Points Won
48
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Jaime Faria
Player
Dennis Novak
68% ( 52 of 77)
1st Serve %
58% ( 40 of 69)
6
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
1
69% ( 36 of 52)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 26 of 40)
36% ( 9 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 11 of 29)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
42% ( 32 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 32 of 69)
77
Total Points Won
69
L
2-6 6-4 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Dennis Novak
Player
Alex Michelsen
81% ( 52 of 64)
1st Serve %
77% ( 56 of 73)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
65% ( 34 of 52)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 33 of 56)
50% ( 6 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 34 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
63
W
7-6(3) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Dennis Novak
Player
Dan Added
77% ( 10 of 13)
1st Serve %
60% ( 15 of 25)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
100% ( 10 of 10)
1st Serve Won
27% ( 4 of 15)
67% ( 2 of 3)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
8% ( 1 of 13)
Rtn Points Won
72% ( 18 of 25)
30
Total Points Won
8
W
6-0 1-0 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Lucas Pouille
Player
Dennis Novak
46% ( 41 of 90)
1st Serve %
57% ( 50 of 87)
7
Aces
5
7
Double Faults
2
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 33 of 50)
53% ( 26 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 21 of 37)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
36% ( 32 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 33 of 87)
91
Total Points Won
86
L
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Henri Squire
Player
Dennis Novak
49% ( 32 of 65)
1st Serve %
64% ( 32 of 50)
2
Aces
3
7
Double Faults
3
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 19 of 32)
45% ( 15 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 5 of 18)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
37% ( 24 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 26 of 50)
67
Total Points Won
48
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Dennis Novak
Player
Gauthier Onclin
56% ( 36 of 64)
1st Serve %
59% ( 42 of 71)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
69% ( 25 of 36)
1st Serve Won
45% ( 19 of 42)
43% ( 12 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
42% ( 27 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 38 of 71)
75
Total Points Won
60
W
7-6(3) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Dennis Novak
Player
Lukas Neumayer
59% ( 34 of 58)
1st Serve %
58% ( 38 of 65)
6
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
4
85% ( 29 of 34)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
58% ( 14 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
26% ( 15 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 29 of 65)
72
Total Points Won
51
W
4-6 6-2 3-0 ret. H2H

Lucas Pouille Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
Q1
cross
Hamad Medjedovic
Player
Lucas Pouille
69% ( 35 of 51)
1st Serve %
63% ( 47 of 75)
12
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
4
80% ( 28 of 35)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 32 of 47)
75% ( 12 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
22% ( 11 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 33 of 75)
73
Total Points Won
53
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
F
cross
Lucas Pouille
Player
Jozef Kovalik
52% ( 29 of 56)
1st Serve %
60% ( 34 of 57)
1
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
69% ( 20 of 29)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
63% ( 17 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 25 of 57)
62
Total Points Won
51
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Lucas Pouille
Player
Francisco Comesana
39% ( 26 of 67)
1st Serve %
52% ( 30 of 58)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
62% ( 16 of 26)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
59% ( 24 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 13 of 28)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
40% ( 27 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 29 of 58)
69
Total Points Won
56
W
7-6(5) 3-1 ret. H2H
QF
cross
Lucas Pouille
Player
Max Hans Rehberg
54% ( 30 of 56)
1st Serve %
74% ( 40 of 54)
4
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
83% ( 25 of 30)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 19 of 40)
58% ( 15 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 7 of 14)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
29% ( 16 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 28 of 54)
68
Total Points Won
42
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Lucas Pouille
Player
Jan Choinski
47% ( 39 of 83)
1st Serve %
65% ( 50 of 77)
7
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
79% ( 31 of 39)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 30 of 50)
52% ( 23 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 16 of 27)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
35% ( 29 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 31 of 77)
85
Total Points Won
75
W
7-6(3) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Lucas Pouille
Player
Dennis Novak
46% ( 41 of 90)
1st Serve %
57% ( 50 of 87)
7
Aces
5
7
Double Faults
2
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 33 of 50)
53% ( 26 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 21 of 37)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
36% ( 32 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 33 of 87)
91
Total Points Won
86
W
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Thiago Moura Monteiro
Player
Lucas Pouille
75% ( 60 of 80)
1st Serve %
60% ( 50 of 83)
2
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
3
85% ( 51 of 60)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 37 of 50)
45% ( 9 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
25% ( 20 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 25 of 83)
85
Total Points Won
78
L
4-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Gregoire Barrere
Player
Lucas Pouille
59% ( 47 of 79)
1st Serve %
56% ( 36 of 64)
1
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
1
72% ( 34 of 47)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 24 of 36)
59% ( 19 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 16 of 28)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
33% ( 26 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 24 of 64)
77
Total Points Won
66
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
Q1
cross
Lucas Pouille
Player
Filip Misolic
55% ( 43 of 78)
1st Serve %
57% ( 36 of 63)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
70% ( 30 of 43)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 26 of 36)
63% ( 22 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
33% ( 26 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 24 of 63)
76
Total Points Won
65
W
6-3 7-6(4) H2H
Q1
cross
Luca Nardi
Player
Lucas Pouille
61% ( 45 of 74)
1st Serve %
52% ( 28 of 54)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
1
76% ( 34 of 45)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 20 of 28)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
36% ( 27 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 20 of 54)
67
Total Points Won
61
L
6-4 6-3 H2H

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